US Open Tennis Betting 2026: Ratings & Contenders

The 2026 US Open runs from August 23 to September 13 in New York, with the men’s and women’s singles main draws starting on August 30. This page will track the tournament through live match odds, leading contenders, market movement, key dates, and the betting angles that matter as the draw develops.

2026 US Open Tennis – Quick Facts

The US Open is the final Grand Slam of the season. The draw matters heavily for outright betting, but New York’s hard courts also create plenty of match-by-match opportunities once the tournament starts.

For the rest of the year’s major betting dates, see our 2026 Sports Betting Calendar.

Live US Open Match Odds

Compare the latest US Open match odds across multiple bookmakers. The table shows the best available price for each player, with full bookmaker comparisons available by expanding each match.

Men’s US Open Match Odds

Women’s US Open Match Odds

Odds can move quickly. Check the bookmaker before betting. Tennis retirement and walkover settlement rules can also differ between operators. You can track wider market moves with our Dropping Odds Tracker or check the Odds Scanner for unusual prices.

Men’s US Open Contenders

Jannik Sinner’s withdrawal with a right knee injury has opened up the men’s draw, while defending champion Carlos Alcaraz returns after more than four months out with a wrist problem. That leaves plenty of uncertainty around the two standout names and brings Alexander Zverev, Novak Djokovic, Ben Shelton and the rest of the chasing pack firmly into the picture.

BF Tennis Rating: Serve 25%, Return 25%, Hard Court 20%, Pressure 15% and Form 15%. Component ratings are calculated against the current ATP Top 50 benchmark using cached SportsAPI365 data. Public cards never trigger upstream API calls.

Carlos Alcaraz

Carlos Alcaraz returns to New York as the defending champion, but his preparation for the 2026 US Open comes with a major question mark. He confirmed on August 20 that he will compete after a right wrist injury kept him out since his opening match in Barcelona on April 14. Alcaraz was 22-3 for the season before the layoff, with a 17-2 record on outdoor hard courts.

The ability and surface record make Alcaraz an obvious title contender, especially following Jannik Sinner’s withdrawal, but New York will be his first competitive tournament in more than four months. Match sharpness, wrist durability and how his body responds to repeated best-of-five matches are therefore central to assessing his US Open chances rather than simply relying on his excellent pre-injury form.

Alexander Zverev

Alexander Zverev arrives in New York as the 2026 Roland Garros champion and a former US Open finalist, having come within two sets of the title in 2020.

He has been one of the most consistent players on tour this season, although his North American hard-court preparation has been mixed, with an early Montreal exit followed by a fourth-round defeat to Tommy Paul in Cincinnati after holding match point. With Sinner absent and Alcaraz returning from injury, Zverev has another strong opportunity to add a second Grand Slam title.

Novak Djokovic

Novak Djokovic remains impossible to dismiss at a Grand Slam, particularly in New York where he has won four US Open titles. The 39-year-old reached the Australian Open final and Wimbledon semi-finals in 2026 and now has a clearer route to a record 25th major following Sinner’s withdrawal.

The concern is physical rather than technical. Djokovic struggled badly with the heat and humidity during his opening match in Cincinnati, losing in three sets to Thiago Agustin Tirante, so his ability to handle repeated long matches over two weeks is an obvious betting consideration.

Ben Shelton

Ben Shelton brings one of the strongest recent hard-court profiles into his home Grand Slam. The American successfully defended his Canadian Masters title in Montreal in August, giving him a fourth tour-level trophy of 2026 and returning him to world No. 6.

His powerful left-handed serve and previous US Open semi-final run make him particularly dangerous in New York, although a straight-sets defeat to qualifier Jaime Faria immediately afterwards in Cincinnati showed that his level can still fluctuate.

Other Men’s Contenders

Four names cannot cover a 128-player Grand Slam draw. The lighter profiles below show the strongest remaining ATP BF Index scores from our current Top 50 benchmark, excluding Jannik Sinner following his withdrawal. They provide a quick model snapshot of the chasing pack rather than a fixed prediction.

Other contenders: ordered by the latest cached BF Index after excluding the four featured profiles. Editorial exclusions can remove withdrawals without triggering any upstream API request.

Women’s US Open Contenders

The women’s field looks less concentrated. Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Rybakina occupy the top two ranking positions, while Iga Swiatek has climbed back into the top five after winning Toronto in August.

BF Tennis Rating: Serve 25%, Return 25%, Hard Court 20%, Pressure 15% and Form 15%. Component ratings are calculated against the current WTA Top 50 benchmark using cached SportsAPI365 data. Public cards never trigger upstream API calls.

Aryna Sabalenka

Aryna Sabalenka remains world No. 1 and owns the highest BF Index in our women’s field, with elite marks for serve and hard-court ability. Her recent form has been less convincing, though, making price important rather than treating her as an automatic bet. At her best she can overpower almost anyone in New York, but the women’s US Open betting odds look more competitive than her ranking alone might suggest.

Iga Swiatek

Iga Swiatek arrives with renewed momentum after winning the Canadian Open, her first title of 2026, before reaching the Cincinnati semi-finals. Her return game gives her one of the strongest all-round BF profiles in the field and makes her particularly dangerous against weaker servers. The main betting question is whether the market has already fully accounted for that return to form after a more difficult first half of the season.

Coco Gauff

Coco Gauff combines a strong hard-court profile with the obvious advantage of playing her home Grand Slam. Her serve has previously been the vulnerable part of the package, but Gauff says changes to the motion have improved it, and she has carried good form into the final US Open warm-up in Cincinnati. If that improvement holds under pressure, her already elite return game makes her a serious outright contender.

Elena Rybakina

Elena Rybakina’s profile is built around one of the strongest serves in the women’s game, backed by excellent hard-court ratings. That gives her the ability to shorten points and take matches away from opponents quickly. The immediate concern is fitness after she retired from her Cincinnati quarter-final with an ankle problem. Her US Open outright odds therefore need to be judged alongside any injury update before the main draw begins.

Other Women’s Contenders

The women’s field is deep enough that limiting the page to four names misses several plausible contenders. These lighter profiles show the strongest remaining WTA BF Index scores outside our four featured players.

Other contenders: ordered by the latest cached BF Index after excluding the four featured profiles. Editorial exclusions can remove withdrawals without triggering any upstream API request.

US Open Tennis Betting Strategy

The BF ratings are designed to highlight strengths, weaknesses and matchup profiles. They are not win probabilities, so a BF Index of 80 does not mean an 80% chance of winning the US Open.

Look Beyond the Overall BF Index

The component scores can be more useful than the headline number. Carlos Alcaraz combines Return 90 and Hard Court 98, but his Form score is reduced by the long injury layoff. Ben Shelton is almost the opposite, with Form 94 and Serve 82 but Return 16.

That difference matters once the draw is known. A serve-led player can look much more attractive against weak returners than against somebody who consistently neutralises first serves.

The Draw Can Change the Outright Market

A good pre-draw price can become much less appealing if a contender lands in a difficult quarter. The 2026 draw has now split several of the leading contenders into very different routes through New York.

Our latest US Open 2026 betting angles looks at what the draw changed for Alcaraz, Zverev and Sabalenka, plus bigger-price outsiders Frances Tiafoe and Sara Bejlek.

Injuries matter too. Alcaraz is returning from a long wrist layoff, while late withdrawals can reshape entire sections of the draw.

Compare Ratings With the Price

The highest BF Index isn’t automatically the best bet. The useful question is whether the available odds properly reflect the player’s profile, fitness, draw and recent form.

Once tournament-winner prices are integrated, the contender cards will add outright bookmaker odds alongside the ratings. That should make it much easier to spot cases where the market and the Betfinder data appear to disagree.

Match Markets May Offer Better Opportunities

The five component ratings should become even more useful once individual matches begin. Serve and Return mismatches can help identify matches worth investigating for the moneyline, handicaps and totals, while the Dropping Odds Tracker can show when prices are moving across supported bookmakers.

Previous US Open Tennis Champions

The defending singles champions are Carlos Alcaraz and Aryna Sabalenka.

Year	Men’s Champion	Women’s Champion
2025	Carlos Alcaraz	Aryna Sabalenka
2024	Jannik Sinner	Aryna Sabalenka
2023	Novak Djokovic	Coco Gauff
2022	Carlos Alcaraz	Iga Swiatek
2021	Daniil Medvedev	Emma Raducanu
2020	Dominic Thiem	Naomi Osaka
2019	Rafael Nadal	Bianca Andreescu
2018	Novak Djokovic	Naomi Osaka
2017	Rafael Nadal	Sloane Stephens
2016	Stan Wawrinka	Angelique Kerber

FAQs

Last editorial update: August 29, 2026.